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DKos/Research 2000 Charts Favorables and Match-Ups on 2010 OR Governor's Race

by: nothstine

Thu Jun 25, 2009 at 11:11:48 AM PDT


The money quote is the headline: OR-Gov: Top Democratic Candidates Lead All Republican Challengers.

Here are the favorability/unfavorability ratings among likely voters:

Peter DeFazio (D) 47/22
John Kitzhaber (D) 46/26

Gordon Smith (R) 39/48
Greg Walden (R) 36/25
Bill Bradbury (D) 33/15
Jason Atkinson (R) 29/19
Steve Novick (D) 16/5

The numbers clearly tilt Democratic--Gordon Smith (remember him?) has third-highest favorables, but absolutely the worst unfavorables.

In theoretical match-ups, Kitzhaber easily handles the top three Republicans: Smith (46-37), Walden (44-38), and Atkinson (48-35).  Same with DeFazio: Smith (47-37), Walden (45-35), and Atkinson (48-34). Neither Kitz nor the Faz has announced his decision about entering the gubernatorial race.

Bradbury, who has declared his candidacy, also wins the theoretical match-ups, though by slimmer margins: Smith (42-38), Walden (40-39), and Atkinson (41-34).

LO favorite son Steve Novick is trailing the first tier of names, both in favorables (though his unfavorables are also small, suggesting name recognition is the issue).  He trails all three GOP possibles: Smith (28-41), Walden (28-43), and Atkinson (29-34).

Research 2000 data is here.

nothstine :: DKos/Research 2000 Charts Favorables and Match-Ups on 2010 OR Governor's Race
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Good News for Gov, But who can we replace Wyden with? (0.00 / 0)
I would like to see the same data for likely replacements for Wyden since he is in the pocket of Big Insurance.  I will not be voting for him again.  We need a true progressive.  I am hoping Novick will run against him in the primary.

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