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Well, as you probably have heard by now if you're a fan, the Blazers stood pat at the trade deadline, opting to place their trust (for the rest of this year, anyway) in the existing roster. Well, except for Ike Diogu, who has been replaced by the equally non-linchpin Michael Ruffin. But that Von Wafer-like activitiy is not what fans around the country were expecting, based on the chips they held and their position as buyers rather than sellers. Sean Meagher at OLive has a lot of good links for folks' perspective on the lack of major activity; I think Mike Barrett puts it well: The entire league was convinced Portland was going to do something, I think a majority of the fans wanted to see something happen, and Pritchard and his staff had the luxury of just answering the phone, and always had leverage. Personally, I've gone back and forth all season. There have been times when I've thought there's no way they should mess with any part of this team. At other times, when this team's weaknesses have been exposed, I've been much more inclined to looked for a quicker way to immediate answers, through a trade. That's because I'm emotional, like most fans. When you're running things, and you have to answer for every potential deal, every future scenario, and every dollar on the books, you've got to take that part out of it.
It's also all about risk and reward, as Pritchard always says. At this point of the season, keeping in mind this is the youngest playing rotation in the NBA, are you that unhappy being 13 games over .500? If that's the case, where did you realistically expect this team to be at this point? I'm not actually asking you, I'm just posing the question that I've asked to myself. Are you at a point where one move could make the difference when it comes to winning a championship this year?
My thoughts run essentially along Barrett's line--I think it's unfortunate that about $5mil in value on the RLEC is lost, although either way they would have relieved themselves of the $7mil in salary expiring. And they've cushioned that blow, they believe, by gaining a $3m trade exception in the Ruffin trade. The team is betting that things will look worse after the season for teams as they--particularly the bad ones--will assess things with a very financial slant. The Blazers will have the benefit of a full season of review for a very young roster, and also the benefit of a dry run trade process, finding out just who everyone covets and is willing to deal. I have to agree with the idea that it was just too early to make some decisions. If anything, Frye and Outlaw were easier decisions; Frye is definitely expendable (sorry dude) and Outlaw is probably near his peak value overall, and while it disappoints us a lot of the time, it's reasonably high and cheap value. But it was guys like Sergio and Batum that teams appeared to want, and if I'm Pritichard I'm uncomfortable with making a definitive call so soon. Sergio's been around, but Bayless hasn't--and by cutting Sergio loose, you're basically putting your faith into JayBay as the PG of the future. Maybe he is, but we can't tell so soon into his career. And Batum is tantalizing as a developed player, very much a Tayshaun Prince kind of guy--but currently only shows flashes and is every bit of 19. I would have supported a move for Carter, but it makes a lot of decisions for the team's future that I think it was appropriate for KP to hesitate making. And as Barrett points out, the power balance was always in his favor during negotiations; when you start from a position of satisfaction with your roster, you are free only to do what really seems like a safe upgrade, and obviously a dream trade that gives Portland a lot for a little is only going to come from total desperation on the part of KP's trading partner. On a personal level, I feel great for everybody on the team. It was a big statement of faith from management that all of these guys have a potential future with the team, and can fit into a championship drive. The can's been kicked down the road a little bit, but for people like Channing and Sergio and especially Travis, they have to feel pretty validated and appreciated that they're still here because the open market isn't notably better than what they offer the team. Finally, a sad note: looks like Martell is done for the year, at least the regular season (and why use him just for a few games rather than give him the whole offseason?) Batum and Outlaw will cover the 3 for the rest of the year, looks like. This is their time to step up, now that they've got the vote of confidence and they are fully bonded as a team, a group of guys all pulling for each other. I'm hoping this non-activity will flush the so-so play of the last month and renew everybody's spirit and energy for the playoff drive. And lastly, I just MAY have a liveblog for tonight's game, but I don't want to commit. Check back and see--and maybe it will be a less intensive one--but no promises tonight, sorry.
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